Wednesday, May 27, 2015

American Thinker: Drawing the red lines - "The red line is unequivocal: full democracies are effectively absent once the Muslim population reaches 6 percent"


Drawing the red lines

Following yesterday’s column on the Christian-Muslim clash of civilizations, some readers were interested in looking at the data in more detail.  It’s a worthy exercise, as it allows us to draw a few tentative “red lines” that Western civilization should not cross.

If we look at the democracy index of all 167 nations for which it is available versus the corresponding Muslim population in each country, it is clear that an increasing proportion of Muslims correlates very strongly (i.e., massively statistically significant [p=1e-13, r=-0.53) with a declining democracy index (aka less democracy and more authoritarianism).



The red line is unequivocal: full democracies are effectively absent once the Muslim population reaches 6 percent or higher.  The Netherlands currently sits at 6.0 percent.  Wonder why Geert Wilders is so concerned?  His nation sits on the precipice of a potential slide into increasing authoritarianism.

Other Western nations approaching the red line include Belgium (5.9 percent), Germany (5.8 percent), Switzerland (5.5 percent), Austria (5.4 percent), Greece (5.3 percent), Sweden (4.6 percent), the U.K. (4.4 percent), and Denmark (4.1 percent).

You might ask what the relationship is between Christians and the democracy index.  It is the exact opposite of that for Muslims, and even more statistically convincing.  There is a stronger correlation (p=5e-22, r=+0.66), except in the positive direction, between the Christian population and democracy.

In general, more Christians equals stronger democracy, whereas more Muslims equals weaker democracy and greater authoritarianism.

The same trends exist for press freedom, which decays quickly once the Muslim population reaches six percent.  Another red line. ...

http://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2015/05/drawing_the_red_lines.html