Sunday, February 28, 2016

The Hill - Super Tuesday Scorecard: Big night possible for Donald Trump




ALABAMA (50)
Trump could potentially sweep all of Alabama’s delegates even though it’s not a winner-take-all state.
A poll released this week from Birmingham-based Republican consulting firm Master Image found Trump at 36 percent, followed by Rubio at 19 percent and Cruz at 12 percent.

If that were the final vote it would be devastating to Trump’s rivals: Alabama requires a candidate to win at least 20 percent of the vote to qualify for the state’s 26 at-large delegates.

Others could still nab a few delegates at the district level, but these will be heavily weighted in the winner’s favor.

Perhaps sensing defeat in a state that once represented a critical block in his Southern firewall, Cruz canceled the lone appearance he had scheduled in Alabama this week.

Rubio has several upcoming stops planned in the state as he seeks to claw above the 20 percent threshold. ...

ALASKA (28)
None of the candidates is spending any time or resources in Alaska, and the caucuses are notoriously difficult to survey.

An Alaska Dispatch-Ivan Moore poll taken in January found Trump at 28 percent and Cruz at 24 percent. Rubio, Kasich and Carson were each in single digits. The state has a 13 percent statewide threshold for delegates.

ARKANSAS (28)
Arkansas is lining up to be a competitive race and could be an opportunity for Cruz or Rubio to steal a victory and limit Trump's total delegates. ...