cnn
Many Republicans think a platform of “law and order” in response to the recent wave of riots guarantees that President Donald Trump will win the upcoming election. Some Democrats fear this is true. Two past examples of rightwing blowback to violent disorder are almost always cited: Richard Nixon’s victories in 1968 and 1972 in the face of race riots and urban crime, and Mr. Trump’s victory in 2016 shortly after a spat of Islamic terrorism and rising murder rates in several major American cities. However, we should remember that despite the Los Angeles riots in 1992 and high national crime rates, George H.W. Bush failed — even as an incumbent — to defeat Bill Clinton. ...
https://www.amren.com/blog/2020/06/will-the-riots-reelect-donald-trump/